I only ever watch one awards show per year -- the Academy Awards! It's a leftover tradition from my childhood, back in the days when it was literally the only awards show on TV. Plus I love movies and these golden statuettes are still the most prestigious awards for them.
My general prediction is that this is the year when the Academy is going to recognize actors and directors who, for whatever reasons, have been grossly overlooked in years past. Wrongs will be righted and some old grievances laid to rest. In that spirit and as promised, here are my fearless Oscar predictions for ten big and/or key categories!
Best Costume Design:
Ruth E. Carter for Black Panther
Best Original Song:
"Shallow" from A Star is Born. This is the only Oscar Lady Gaga will get.
Best Original Screenplay:
Adam McKay for Vice. Whether you agree with the film's political analysis or not (and I do), it was very, very cleverly written.
Best Adapted Screenplay:
Charlie Wachtel et al for BlacKkKlansman
Glenn Close for The Wife. This will be her Oscar to make up for all those years of being overlooked. A "career-recognition" Oscar, if you will.
Willem Dafoe for At Eternity's Gate. Ditto re the career-recognition.
Best Supporting Actress:
Regina King for If Beale Street Could Talk
Best Supporting Actor:
Sam Elliott for A Star is Born. Another career-recognition Oscar.
Bohemian Rhapsody. Sorry, Cal, I know you're pulling for Black Panther.
Spike Lee for BlacKkKlansman. Again, a career-recognition Oscar for all those years of being unjustly snubbed and overlooked.
So we'll see tonight if I'm right!